The government always wants to solve today's housing problems, so starting an island for everyone in more than ten years will be a head-scratcher, but what about the flaws in Lantau tomorrow? In March of last year, the Secretary for Development, Mr Wong Wai-lun, said when promoting the Lantau formation tomorrow that the first batch of residents would join in 2032, but it turned out that in today's policy address, Carrie Lam's "Quiet Chicken" had postponed the occupancy date to 2034.
The reason was not explained, but The research has not been done, the construction has not started, the date of entry has been delayed, and photo background removing Lantau tomorrow will become "Lantau the day after tomorrow". 126806525_3610920472337333_8304515876332 Image provided by author Since the government is saying that Lantau will be able to cope with the increase in population tomorrow, we should seriously check the latest population estimates of the Census and Statistics Department. In September this year, the government announced the "Hong Kong Population Projection 2020-2069", and the population of Hong Kong will peak in 2039 (8.097 million)  , and will continue to drop to 7.351 million in 2069, with a smaller population than now. This means that the government's most optimistic time for occupancy today is 2034, and the population will begin to decline in just five years after that.
127180886_3611632898932757_7050936918415 Image source: Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department Moreover, based on past records, long-term population estimates tend to be overestimated and then lowered  . It is difficult to guarantee that the projected population in 2039 will be lowered again in the future, or that the population peak will appear earlier. According to past experience, the larger the infrastructure, the greater the chance of delays in the construction, and the population of Hong Kong has gradually shrunk by the time the construction is completed. One can't help but wonder, why is the government not serious about solving today's housing problem, and placing its hopes on an island that will not solve the housing problem? If